The Markets section at 1win is a new way to wager that goes beyond traditional sports betting. Instead of placing bets on football games or tennis matches, you predict the outcome of real-world events — from politics and technology to pop culture and global news.
Will Elon Musk become a trillionaire before 2027? Will a specific country elect a new president? Will a major company IPO this year? These are the kinds of questions you can take a position on through the Markets section, buying into the outcome you believe is most likely.
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What are prediction markets?
A prediction market is a platform where users bet on whether a real-world event will happen or not. Each market is built around a yes/no question with a clear resolution date and an official source that determines the final outcome.
Prices on each market move in real time as more users place bets. If the "Yes" side is trading at 65 cents, that implies the crowd considers the event 65% likely. When the event resolves, the winning side pays out at $1 per share — so early believers who bought at lower prices can see strong returns.
Unlike sportsbook odds set by bookmakers, prediction market prices are crowd-driven. That means they often reflect public sentiment faster than traditional polls, media coverage, or analyst forecasts.
Example of a market "Will Elon Musk become a trillionaire before 2027?" — Yes / No. If "Yes" is trading at 65 cents, the market assigns a 65% probability to the event.
Types of markets available at 1win
The Markets section covers a wide variety of topics. Here are the main categories you will find.
How prediction markets work on 1win
The core mechanic is simple, but it helps to understand the details before you place your first bet.
Yes/No questions
Every market is framed as a clear yes/no question with a resolution date. You choose one side. If the event happens, "Yes" shares pay $1. If it does not, "No" shares pay $1. The side that turns out to be wrong pays nothing.
Market prices as probabilities
Prices always sit between 1 cent and 99 cents. The current price directly reflects the crowd's estimated probability. If "Yes" is trading at 30 cents, the market thinks the event has about a 30% chance of happening.
Buying and selling at any time
You do not have to hold your position until the market resolves. You can sell your shares at any point before resolution to lock in profits or cut your losses, just like trading stocks.
Real-world resolution
Every market has a clearly defined resolution source — an official announcement, a recognized index, a government publication, or a trusted news outlet. This is checked against objective data when the market closes to determine the winning outcome.
Why prediction markets are different from sports betting
Both belong to the world of betting, but they behave very differently. Understanding these differences helps you decide when each format makes sense.
- Odds are set by people, not bookmakers. In sports betting, bookmakers set the odds. In prediction markets, prices are driven entirely by supply and demand between users, which can create opportunities when the crowd over-reacts or misreads a situation.
- Longer time horizons. Sports bets usually resolve within hours or days. Prediction markets often run for weeks, months, or more than a year — letting you build a position early and watch it develop as new information comes in.
- Knowledge pays off. If you follow politics, tech or crypto closely, that expertise translates directly into an edge. You can apply what you already know to spot mispriced markets.
- Trade in and out. You can enter and exit a position at any time, treating it more like an investment than a one-off bet. This flexibility is unique to prediction markets.
How to place a bet in the Markets section
Here is how to get started once you have a funded 1win account:
Open the 1win website or app and sign in with your credentials.
Click on Markets in the top menu. You will see a list of categories — Politics, Tech, Crypto, Pop Culture, and more.
Browse by category or use the search bar if you are looking for a specific topic or name. Each market shows the current Yes/No prices, total trading volume, and the resolution date.
Before placing your bet, click into the market and read the Rules section. This explains exactly how the market will resolve, which source will be used, and what counts as a "Yes" outcome.
Pick the side you believe in, enter the amount you want to stake, and confirm. You will see your potential payout calculated automatically based on the current price.
Your position appears in your portfolio. You can hold it until the market resolves, or sell at any point if prices move in your favor or you want to exit early.
Why the Markets section is worth exploring
- Bet on what you already know. Follow politics, tech, or crypto? Your daily news reading turns into a potential edge on the markets.
- Wide variety of topics. From serious geopolitics to offbeat pop culture questions, there is always something worth taking a position on.
- Transparent pricing. Prices clearly show crowd-sourced probabilities, so you always know what the market thinks as a whole.
- Trade like stocks. Buy low, sell high, and exit early if you do not want to wait for resolution.
- Long-form entertainment. Markets can run for weeks or months, turning big ongoing stories into an engaging way to follow the news.
- Low minimum stakes. Start small to get familiar with the mechanics before scaling up.
Tips for betting on prediction markets
Prediction markets reward research and patience. These guidelines help new users avoid common mistakes.
- Read the rules carefully. The exact wording matters. A market resolving based on "official" data can interpret events differently from what the headlines suggest.
- Check the resolution source. Know where the result will come from before you place a bet — a specific index, a government site, a court ruling, or an official announcement.
- Watch the volume. High-volume markets tend to have more accurate prices. Low-volume markets can have wider spreads and more erratic pricing.
- Do not bet on loyalty. Betting because you are a fan of a person, company, or project is the fastest way to lose. Bet only on what you actually think will happen.
- Think in probabilities. A market at 80 cents means the crowd thinks the event is 80% likely. If you believe the true probability is 60%, the smart move is to bet "No" — even if you still think the event is more likely than not.
- Diversify your positions. Spreading your stake across several markets reduces variance and increases your chances of a positive overall result.
Responsible betting in the Markets section
Prediction markets involve real money and real uncertainty. Even experienced traders lose bets — that is part of how the market works.
Set a budget before you start, and do not bet more than you can comfortably afford to lose. Resist the urge to double down after a loss. Treat prediction markets as an interesting way to engage with the news and test your judgment, not as a shortcut to fast money.
1win provides tools for limits and self-exclusion. If you feel your betting is becoming a problem, use them — or contact the customer support team.
Markets on the 1win mobile app
All the prediction markets available on the website are fully available in the 1win mobile app for Android and iOS.
The app mirrors the website layout, with quick category filters, live price updates, and push notifications when your positions move significantly or a market is about to resolve.
